Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000921 1.059166e-03 0.001199 0.001351 0.001510 0.001672 0.001849
2025-07-20 0.000667 8.579979e-04 0.001060 0.001286 0.001531 0.001786 0.002070
2025-07-27 0.000534 7.664385e-04 0.001022 0.001316 0.001643 0.001989 0.002380
2025-08-03 0.000399 6.550503e-04 0.000949 0.001300 0.001696 0.002124 0.002613
2025-08-10 0.000258 5.161958e-04 0.000831 0.001221 0.001673 0.002168 0.002744
2025-08-17 0.000169 4.257969e-04 0.000760 0.001188 0.001695 0.002260 0.002921
2025-08-24 0.000085 3.200835e-04 0.000658 0.001110 0.001659 0.002280 0.003015
2025-08-31 0.000043 2.633327e-04 0.000612 0.001095 0.001692 0.002376 0.003193
2025-09-07 0.000020 2.291644e-04 0.000592 0.001109 0.001759 0.002509 0.003410
2025-09-14 0.000002 1.770444e-04 0.000539 0.001077 0.001766 0.002569 0.003542
2025-09-21 NaN 1.552464e-04 0.000529 0.001099 0.001838 0.002705 0.003759
2025-09-28 NaN 1.495405e-04 0.000543 0.001154 0.001949 0.002886 0.004028
2025-10-05 NaN 1.006379e-04 0.000488 0.001126 0.001977 0.002993 0.004240
2025-10-12 NaN 5.289941e-05 0.000418 0.001072 0.001972 0.003061 0.004409
2025-10-19 NaN 3.690502e-05 0.000407 0.001105 0.002078 0.003263 0.004736
2025-10-26 NaN 1.587232e-05 0.000369 0.001092 0.002123 0.003391 0.004978
2025-11-02 NaN 8.458335e-08 0.000298 0.001021 0.002087 0.003419 0.005099
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000257 0.000992 0.002106 0.003512 0.005296
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000197 0.000920 0.002061 0.003524 0.005394
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000171 0.000906 0.002095 0.003633 0.005608
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000160 0.000920 0.002168 0.003789 0.005877
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000131 0.000890 0.002175 0.003862 0.006045
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000125 0.000911 0.002255 0.004026 0.006323